Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000173 0.000192 0.000212 0.000236 0.000262 0.000291 0.000325
2025-03-30 0.000143 0.000171 0.000204 0.000246 0.000297 0.000359 0.000440
2025-04-06 0.000118 0.000149 0.000188 0.000241 0.000310 0.000400 0.000526
2025-04-13 0.000098 0.000129 0.000170 0.000228 0.000309 0.000420 0.000586
2025-04-20 0.000088 0.000120 0.000164 0.000229 0.000325 0.000463 0.000681
2025-04-27 0.000081 0.000114 0.000161 0.000234 0.000346 0.000514 0.000797
2025-05-04 0.000073 0.000106 0.000155 0.000232 0.000356 0.000552 0.000894
2025-05-11 0.000068 0.000101 0.000151 0.000234 0.000372 0.000598 0.001013
2025-05-18 0.000062 0.000095 0.000146 0.000233 0.000381 0.000634 0.001118
2025-05-25 0.000058 0.000090 0.000142 0.000231 0.000390 0.000671 0.001230
2025-06-01 0.000054 0.000085 0.000136 0.000228 0.000396 0.000702 0.001337
2025-06-08 0.000049 0.000079 0.000129 0.000220 0.000391 0.000713 0.001404
2025-06-15 0.000046 0.000076 0.000127 0.000222 0.000407 0.000766 0.001571
2025-06-22 0.000044 0.000075 0.000127 0.000230 0.000434 0.000848 0.001818
2025-06-29 0.000041 0.000070 0.000122 0.000225 0.000436 0.000877 0.001952
2025-07-06 0.000037 0.000064 0.000113 0.000213 0.000423 0.000873 0.002009
2025-07-13 0.000035 0.000062 0.000111 0.000214 0.000435 0.000927 0.002218
2025-07-20 0.000034 0.000060 0.000111 0.000218 0.000457 0.001005 0.002504
2025-07-27 0.000032 0.000058 0.000108 0.000217 0.000465 0.001052 0.002720
2025-08-03 0.000030 0.000056 0.000107 0.000219 0.000481 0.001120 0.003009
2025-08-10 0.000029 0.000054 0.000104 0.000217 0.000488 0.001169 0.003251
2025-08-17 0.000027 0.000052 0.000101 0.000216 0.000496 0.001220 0.003514
2025-08-24 0.000026 0.000050 0.000099 0.000213 0.000500 0.001261 0.003757